← ALL STRATEGIES · gold_reversal

Gold three-candle reversal

COURSE STRATEGY
RUNNING

Bullish reclaim after a bearish H4 break below a reference candle.

DEFAULT MARKETGC=F
BAR INTERVAL1h
GROSS EXPOSURE1.0x
PAPER CASH$99,783.65
REALIZED P&L$-216.35
PROMOTION AUDIT

No AI qualification submitted

This strategy keeps its course or research provenance. A normal backtest snapshot cannot award the AI-generated label.

NOT TESTEDLocked evidenceRequires 100+ trades over 180+ untouched calendar days.
NOT TESTEDCost survivalMust beat exposure-matched Buy & Hold at 4 and 8 bps.
NOT TESTEDIntraday flatnessEvery position must close within its trading session.
NOT TESTEDImmutable provenanceExact algorithm, dataset, and trade-ledger SHA-256 fingerprints are mandatory.

How the strategy works

The three-candle pattern looks for a failed bearish breakdown. After a bearish candle trades below a reference low, a bullish candle must reclaim that level; entry waits above the reclaim candle to confirm that buyers remain in control.

Concrete example

A reference low is 2,400. A bearish candle falls to 2,390, then a bullish candle closes back above 2,400 with a high of 2,410. The buy-stop is 2,410, the stop sits below the pattern, and the target equals the amount risked.

Exact algorithm

Required data: ohlcv

Where it may work—and where it can fail

EXPECTED BEST CONDITIONS

Failed breakdowns near meaningful H4 support followed by decisive bullish rejection.

IMPORTANT CONTEXT

Yahoo hourly bars are resampled to H4; exact exchange session alignment requires licensed data.

Main risks

“Best conditions” is an interpretation of the strategy's mechanism, not an additional course entry rule and not a performance guarantee.

Forward paper transactions

LEDGER START2026-08-16T22:55:35.126266+00:00
PAPER VERSIONv2 · f2f4cf702bd1
STATUSrunning
STATUS DETAILNo issue
EntrySideEntry priceExitExit priceCapital basisGross notionalOutcomeP&L
2026-09-21 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,409.402026-09-21 12:00:00+00:004,377.50$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-76.35
2026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,404.602026-09-18 04:00:00+00:004,437.00$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+69.56
2026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,381.902026-09-16 08:00:00+00:004,382.80$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-1.95
2026-09-15 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,326.702026-09-15 12:00:00+00:004,329.90$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+3.40
2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,402.002026-09-11 12:00:00+00:004,341.40$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-141.66
2026-09-09 16:00:00+00:00LONG4,466.702026-09-10 04:00:00+00:004,454.90$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-30.42
2026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,428.402026-09-09 04:00:00+00:004,452.90$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+51.32
2026-09-02 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,377.802026-09-02 08:00:00+00:004,379.60$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+0.11
2026-08-31 16:00:00+00:00LONG4,502.702026-08-31 20:00:00+00:004,501.90$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-5.78
2026-08-31 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,498.502026-08-31 08:00:00+00:004,506.20$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+13.12
2026-08-28 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,667.402026-08-28 08:00:00+00:004,645.60$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-50.71
2026-08-27 12:00:00+00:00LONG4,665.502026-08-27 16:00:00+00:004,663.00$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-9.36
2026-08-20 12:00:00+00:00LONG4,597.102026-08-21 00:00:00+00:004,581.20$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-38.59
2026-08-19 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,415.802026-08-19 04:00:00+00:004,408.30$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-20.98
2026-08-17 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,473.202026-08-17 12:00:00+00:004,484.80$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+21.93

Capital basis is allocated paper equity. Gross notional uses the exposure stored with that exact fill; legacy fills with no recorded exposure are shown as unknown. A new semantic paper generation archives the prior run and restarts the forward clock.

Archived paper versions

Read-only prior runs preserve their executable manifest, balances, and fills. They never contribute to the active clock, cash, or qualification.

VersionMarketExposureAllocationCostCode hashStartedArchivedFillsStarting cashEnding cashRealized P&LFinal status
legacy-v1unknown · unknownunknownunknownunknownlegacy2026-08-16T16:54:09.212635+00:002026-08-16T22:55:35.126266+00:000$100,000.00$100,000.00$+0.00running
TRADES387
AVERAGE TRADE-9.93 bps
STRATEGY 1.0x / BUY & HOLD 1x-32.26% / +79.87%
VS 1x REFERENCE-112.13% · LAGS
DRAWDOWN: STRATEGY / B&H+32.76% / +29.00%
HITS / MISSES154 / 233
HIT RATE+39.79%
AVG HIT / MISS+0.32% / -0.37%
LONGEST MISS STREAK10

Rolling 70/30 diagnostic

This moving 70/30 split is a dashboard diagnostic, not frozen qualification evidence. It cannot award AI-qualified status.

FINAL 30% TRADES117
STRATEGY / B&H 1x-10.20% / -7.01%
FINAL 30% VS B&H-3.19%
FINAL 30% HIT RATE+44.44%
FINAL 30% DRAWDOWN+11.17%
INDEPENDENT EVIDENCE?No

Candles and execution signals

▲ BUY▼ SELLHover a candle or marker for exact values
4351.604299.484247.354195.234143.102026-09-23T15:00:00+00:00 O 4330.60 H 4333.60 L 4313.30 C 4318.302026-09-23T16:00:00+00:00 O 4318.30 H 4326.10 L 4314.50 C 4321.102026-09-23T17:00:00+00:00 O 4321.20 H 4330.00 L 4310.70 C 4329.502026-09-23T18:00:00+00:00 O 4329.60 H 4331.50 L 4319.00 C 4326.802026-09-23T19:00:00+00:00 O 4326.70 H 4329.90 L 4317.30 C 4320.602026-09-23T20:00:00+00:00 O 4320.30 H 4326.50 L 4318.40 C 4322.702026-09-23T21:00:00+00:00 O 4322.70 H 4322.70 L 4322.70 C 4322.702026-09-23T22:00:00+00:00 O 4324.40 H 4328.80 L 4320.90 C 4324.202026-09-23T23:00:00+00:00 O 4324.00 H 4328.80 L 4320.20 C 4323.802026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00 O 4324.10 H 4334.60 L 4319.00 C 4333.702026-09-24T01:00:00+00:00 O 4333.80 H 4338.00 L 4312.60 C 4314.802026-09-24T02:00:00+00:00 O 4314.00 H 4332.00 L 4308.00 C 4325.702026-09-24T03:00:00+00:00 O 4325.40 H 4328.70 L 4315.60 C 4318.902026-09-24T04:00:00+00:00 O 4320.10 H 4325.10 L 4316.40 C 4324.302026-09-24T05:00:00+00:00 O 4324.40 H 4331.20 L 4312.00 C 4313.602026-09-24T06:00:00+00:00 O 4313.80 H 4321.30 L 4309.00 C 4311.302026-09-24T07:00:00+00:00 O 4311.20 H 4323.00 L 4309.00 C 4313.302026-09-24T08:00:00+00:00 O 4313.40 H 4320.30 L 4295.00 C 4295.502026-09-24T09:00:00+00:00 O 4295.50 H 4301.70 L 4285.00 C 4289.702026-09-24T10:00:00+00:00 O 4289.60 H 4299.40 L 4278.30 C 4292.502026-09-24T11:00:00+00:00 O 4292.40 H 4302.40 L 4286.40 C 4300.402026-09-24T12:00:00+00:00 O 4300.20 H 4318.20 L 4295.00 C 4316.002026-09-24T13:00:00+00:00 O 4316.20 H 4320.00 L 4299.70 C 4302.502026-09-24T14:00:00+00:00 O 4302.50 H 4308.40 L 4287.40 C 4288.002026-09-24T15:00:00+00:00 O 4288.30 H 4295.10 L 4279.50 C 4291.302026-09-24T16:00:00+00:00 O 4291.50 H 4324.30 L 4287.20 C 4308.702026-09-24T17:00:00+00:00 O 4308.00 H 4313.00 L 4293.20 C 4300.102026-09-24T18:00:00+00:00 O 4300.20 H 4317.20 L 4291.30 C 4307.102026-09-24T19:00:00+00:00 O 4307.20 H 4310.90 L 4302.20 C 4309.402026-09-24T20:00:00+00:00 O 4309.10 H 4311.40 L 4299.70 C 4310.102026-09-24T22:00:00+00:00 O 4309.50 H 4312.80 L 4303.10 C 4307.502026-09-24T23:00:00+00:00 O 4307.80 H 4311.40 L 4299.90 C 4300.102026-09-25T00:00:00+00:00 O 4299.90 H 4315.50 L 4299.30 C 4313.002026-09-25T01:00:00+00:00 O 4313.20 H 4331.00 L 4311.70 C 4323.202026-09-25T02:00:00+00:00 O 4323.20 H 4330.50 L 4313.00 C 4318.902026-09-25T03:00:00+00:00 O 4319.00 H 4321.60 L 4305.40 C 4305.702026-09-25T04:00:00+00:00 O 4304.80 H 4308.40 L 4297.00 C 4297.402026-09-25T05:00:00+00:00 O 4297.00 H 4311.90 L 4290.30 C 4301.302026-09-25T06:00:00+00:00 O 4301.10 H 4316.40 L 4300.80 C 4311.002026-09-25T07:00:00+00:00 O 4310.90 H 4317.00 L 4306.20 C 4314.802026-09-25T08:00:00+00:00 O 4314.50 H 4332.70 L 4310.00 C 4328.902026-09-25T09:00:00+00:00 O 4329.00 H 4333.50 L 4325.40 C 4330.802026-09-25T10:00:00+00:00 O 4330.70 H 4347.50 L 4329.60 C 4346.802026-09-25T11:00:00+00:00 O 4346.90 H 4351.60 L 4335.90 C 4338.602026-09-25T12:00:00+00:00 O 4339.10 H 4345.30 L 4332.30 C 4333.902026-09-25T13:00:00+00:00 O 4333.90 H 4335.30 L 4308.60 C 4310.902026-09-25T14:00:00+00:00 O 4310.70 H 4315.90 L 4289.20 C 4314.102026-09-25T15:00:00+00:00 O 4314.10 H 4326.60 L 4304.90 C 4326.402026-09-25T16:00:00+00:00 O 4326.50 H 4336.00 L 4314.50 C 4321.502026-09-25T17:00:00+00:00 O 4321.60 H 4328.40 L 4314.50 C 4318.102026-09-25T18:00:00+00:00 O 4318.30 H 4331.10 L 4317.70 C 4329.802026-09-25T19:00:00+00:00 O 4329.80 H 4332.40 L 4322.70 C 4326.602026-09-25T20:00:00+00:00 O 4326.50 H 4327.60 L 4320.00 C 4321.202026-09-27T22:00:00+00:00 O 4308.80 H 4310.00 L 4292.40 C 4294.202026-09-27T23:00:00+00:00 O 4293.80 H 4300.60 L 4291.90 C 4294.602026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00 O 4294.20 H 4295.10 L 4260.50 C 4264.602026-09-28T01:00:00+00:00 O 4264.40 H 4265.10 L 4239.30 C 4249.402026-09-28T02:00:00+00:00 O 4249.20 H 4250.70 L 4227.10 C 4229.902026-09-28T03:00:00+00:00 O 4230.10 H 4236.00 L 4224.10 C 4230.502026-09-28T04:00:00+00:00 O 4229.50 H 4233.10 L 4226.80 C 4227.402026-09-28T05:00:00+00:00 O 4227.20 H 4231.00 L 4211.40 C 4212.102026-09-28T06:00:00+00:00 O 4212.00 H 4213.80 L 4194.30 C 4196.702026-09-28T07:00:00+00:00 O 4196.50 H 4198.50 L 4182.70 C 4187.502026-09-28T08:00:00+00:00 O 4187.40 H 4191.20 L 4174.70 C 4176.802026-09-28T09:00:00+00:00 O 4176.40 H 4190.00 L 4172.70 C 4188.102026-09-28T10:00:00+00:00 O 4188.20 H 4191.80 L 4184.00 C 4187.502026-09-28T11:00:00+00:00 O 4187.80 H 4193.00 L 4179.60 C 4181.002026-09-28T12:00:00+00:00 O 4180.90 H 4203.80 L 4175.00 C 4186.402026-09-28T13:00:00+00:00 O 4186.10 H 4193.20 L 4168.00 C 4189.102026-09-28T14:00:00+00:00 O 4189.10 H 4189.30 L 4143.10 C 4150.702026-09-28T15:00:00+00:00 O 4150.70 H 4160.90 L 4147.70 C 4156.402026-09-28T16:00:00+00:00 O 4156.60 H 4181.00 L 4148.60 C 4162.402026-09-28T17:00:00+00:00 O 4162.10 H 4179.60 L 4158.70 C 4167.302026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00 O 4167.30 H 4175.30 L 4164.10 C 4172.002026-09-28T19:00:00+00:00 O 4172.20 H 4172.40 L 4155.20 C 4156.302026-09-28T20:00:00+00:00 O 4156.10 H 4156.90 L 4144.20 C 4148.502026-09-28T22:00:00+00:00 O 4150.10 H 4159.20 L 4147.80 C 4154.102026-09-28T23:00:00+00:00 O 4154.00 H 4161.40 L 4153.50 C 4159.602026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00 O 4160.00 H 4160.30 L 4146.20 C 4150.002026-09-29T01:00:00+00:00 O 4149.30 H 4168.60 L 4145.20 C 4166.902026-09-29T02:00:00+00:00 O 4167.10 H 4170.70 L 4157.80 C 4168.702026-09-29T03:00:00+00:00 O 4169.10 H 4171.80 L 4162.80 C 4164.102026-09-29T04:00:00+00:00 O 4165.10 H 4165.60 L 4155.90 C 4158.202026-09-29T05:00:00+00:00 O 4157.90 H 4176.20 L 4153.10 C 4169.902026-09-29T06:00:00+00:00 O 4170.10 H 4179.50 L 4169.80 C 4171.702026-09-29T07:00:00+00:00 O 4171.90 H 4180.90 L 4167.40 C 4172.402026-09-29T08:00:00+00:00 O 4172.90 H 4178.30 L 4169.20 C 4171.602026-09-29T09:00:00+00:00 O 4171.00 H 4181.20 L 4170.70 C 4178.002026-09-29T10:00:00+00:00 O 4178.00 H 4186.80 L 4175.40 C 4185.602026-09-29T11:00:00+00:00 O 4185.80 H 4193.30 L 4181.50 C 4185.702026-09-29T12:00:00+00:00 O 4185.50 H 4190.90 L 4180.60 C 4183.002026-09-29T13:00:00+00:00 O 4183.00 H 4196.80 L 4182.50 C 4189.802026-09-29T14:00:00+00:00 O 4189.50 H 4207.20 L 4188.50 C 4202.002026-09-29T15:00:00+00:00 O 4202.20 H 4202.20 L 4180.00 C 4190.402026-09-29T16:00:00+00:00 O 4190.50 H 4190.90 L 4176.70 C 4177.802026-09-29T17:00:00+00:00 O 4177.80 H 4181.20 L 4174.40 C 4176.402026-09-29T18:00:00+00:00 O 4176.50 H 4209.00 L 4176.50 C 4203.702026-09-29T19:00:00+00:00 O 4203.70 H 4210.10 L 4200.40 C 4209.902026-09-29T20:00:00+00:00 O 4209.90 H 4218.10 L 4204.20 C 4215.002026-09-29T22:00:00+00:00 O 4216.20 H 4217.30 L 4209.20 C 4211.302026-09-29T23:00:00+00:00 O 4211.50 H 4219.70 L 4211.00 C 4216.802026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00 O 4216.70 H 4219.50 L 4208.10 C 4208.102026-09-30T01:00:00+00:00 O 4208.30 H 4213.30 L 4198.60 C 4203.602026-09-30T02:00:00+00:00 O 4203.50 H 4216.00 L 4202.70 C 4210.902026-09-30T03:00:00+00:00 O 4211.00 H 4214.20 L 4203.20 C 4205.502026-09-30T04:00:00+00:00 O 4204.70 H 4217.40 L 4204.30 C 4211.402026-09-30T05:00:00+00:00 O 4211.00 H 4214.80 L 4197.60 C 4210.202026-09-30T06:00:00+00:00 O 4209.80 H 4227.00 L 4208.30 C 4222.602026-09-30T07:00:00+00:00 O 4222.60 H 4233.20 L 4221.60 C 4225.502026-09-30T08:00:00+00:00 O 4225.60 H 4234.00 L 4222.80 C 4223.402026-09-30T09:00:00+00:00 O 4223.40 H 4227.00 L 4214.30 C 4219.302026-09-30T10:00:00+00:00 O 4219.40 H 4222.20 L 4212.50 C 4216.002026-09-30T11:00:00+00:00 O 4215.90 H 4223.80 L 4207.80 C 4218.302026-09-30T12:00:00+00:00 O 4217.90 H 4251.10 L 4213.90 C 4240.202026-09-30T13:00:00+00:00 O 4240.30 H 4246.50 L 4207.50 C 4208.602026-09-30T14:00:00+00:00 O 4208.80 H 4215.00 L 4195.10 C 4196.402026-09-30T15:00:00+00:00 O 4196.60 H 4199.50 L 4182.10 C 4188.202026-09-30T16:00:00+00:00 O 4188.60 H 4194.20 L 4185.80 C 4189.102026-09-30T17:00:00+00:00 O 4189.20 H 4190.10 L 4178.20 C 4182.702026-09-30T18:00:00+00:00 O 4182.40 H 4186.40 L 4178.50 C 4185.90ENTRY BUY · 2026-09-30 04:00:00+00:00 · 4233.20BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-30 08:00:00+00:00 · 4218.30SELL2026-09-232026-09-30

Shows the latest 120 available bars. BUY/SELL marks strategy entries and exits whose timestamps fall in this visible window.

Historical equity curve

Compounds each encoded net trade sequentially, including the strategy's declared exposure and modeled costs. The forward ledger starts only after deployment.

Backtest specification

STATUS / REPLICATIONcompleted · hourly_to_h4_resample
DATAYahoo Finance (delayed/unofficial)
MARKETGC=F · 1h
HISTORY2024-05-08T04:00:00+00:00
2026-09-30T18:00:00+00:00
WIN RATE+39.79%
PROFIT FACTOR0.56

Yahoo hourly bars are resampled to H4; exact exchange session alignment requires licensed data.

Historical transactions

Download JSONDownload all transactions as CSV

HIT = profitable after the 4 bps cost assumption; MISS = loss after costs; FLAT = break-even. Showing the most recent 100 of 387 transactions.

EntrySideEntry priceExitExit priceOutcomeNet return
2026-09-30 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,233.202026-09-30 08:00:00+00:004,218.30MISS-0.392%
2026-09-21 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,409.402026-09-21 12:00:00+00:004,377.50MISS-0.763%
2026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,404.602026-09-18 04:00:00+00:004,437.00HIT+0.696%
2026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,381.902026-09-16 08:00:00+00:004,382.80MISS-0.019%
2026-09-15 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,326.702026-09-15 12:00:00+00:004,329.90HIT+0.034%
2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,402.002026-09-11 12:00:00+00:004,341.40MISS-1.417%
2026-09-09 16:00:00+00:00LONG4,466.702026-09-10 04:00:00+00:004,454.90MISS-0.304%
2026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,428.402026-09-09 04:00:00+00:004,452.90HIT+0.513%
2026-09-02 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,377.802026-09-02 08:00:00+00:004,379.60HIT+0.001%
2026-08-31 16:00:00+00:00LONG4,502.702026-08-31 20:00:00+00:004,501.00MISS-0.078%
2026-08-31 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,498.502026-08-31 08:00:00+00:004,506.20HIT+0.131%
2026-08-28 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,667.402026-08-28 08:00:00+00:004,645.60MISS-0.507%
2026-08-27 12:00:00+00:00LONG4,665.502026-08-27 16:00:00+00:004,662.70MISS-0.100%
2026-08-20 12:00:00+00:00LONG4,597.102026-08-21 00:00:00+00:004,590.90MISS-0.175%
2026-08-19 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,415.802026-08-19 04:00:00+00:004,408.30MISS-0.210%
2026-08-17 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,473.202026-08-17 12:00:00+00:004,484.80HIT+0.219%
2026-08-13 20:00:00+00:00LONG4,419.402026-08-14 08:00:00+00:004,400.00MISS-0.479%
2026-08-11 20:00:00+00:00LONG4,437.802026-08-12 00:00:00+00:004,455.90HIT+0.368%
2026-08-10 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,421.502026-08-10 16:00:00+00:004,446.80HIT+0.532%
2026-08-06 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,344.202026-08-07 04:00:00+00:004,348.90HIT+0.068%
2026-08-05 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,193.802026-08-05 04:00:00+00:004,229.90HIT+0.821%
2026-08-04 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,123.702026-08-04 08:00:00+00:004,132.10HIT+0.164%
2026-08-03 16:00:00+00:00LONG4,112.002026-08-03 20:00:00+00:004,109.30MISS-0.106%
2026-07-31 16:00:00+00:00LONG4,111.902026-08-02 20:00:00+00:004,130.40HIT+0.410%
2026-07-30 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,142.202026-07-30 12:00:00+00:004,167.00HIT+0.559%
2026-07-29 16:00:00+00:00LONG4,176.802026-07-30 12:00:00+00:004,167.00MISS-0.275%
2026-07-29 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,106.702026-07-29 16:00:00+00:004,104.70MISS-0.089%
2026-07-28 12:00:00+00:00LONG4,047.402026-07-29 04:00:00+00:004,083.70HIT+0.857%
2026-07-27 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,107.002026-07-29 16:00:00+00:004,086.50MISS-0.539%
2026-07-24 04:00:00+00:00LONG4,056.302026-07-24 08:00:00+00:004,060.20HIT+0.056%
2026-07-20 00:00:00+00:00LONG4,034.202026-07-20 08:00:00+00:004,030.50MISS-0.132%
2026-07-16 20:00:00+00:00LONG3,989.902026-07-17 00:00:00+00:004,006.40HIT+0.374%
2026-07-16 08:00:00+00:00LONG4,048.402026-07-16 12:00:00+00:004,026.20MISS-0.588%
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