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One-bar trend continuation

COURSE STRATEGY
RUNNING

A diagnostic baseline testing whether one bar's direction persists.

DEFAULT MARKETQQQ
BAR INTERVAL1d
GROSS EXPOSURE1.0x
PAPER CASH$100,238.39
REALIZED P&L$+238.39
PROMOTION AUDIT

No AI qualification submitted

This strategy keeps its course or research provenance. A normal backtest snapshot cannot award the AI-generated label.

NOT TESTEDLocked evidenceRequires 100+ trades over 180+ untouched calendar days.
NOT TESTEDCost survivalMust beat exposure-matched Buy & Hold at 4 and 8 bps.
NOT TESTEDIntraday flatnessEvery position must close within its trading session.
NOT TESTEDImmutable provenanceExact algorithm, dataset, and trade-ledger SHA-256 fingerprints are mandatory.

How the strategy works

This deliberately simple diagnostic asks whether yesterday's direction predicts today's direction. It buys after an up bar and sells short after a down bar, holding for one configured bar.

Concrete example

If QQQ closes above its open on Monday, the baseline buys Tuesday's open and exits Tuesday's close. A down Monday instead produces a Tuesday short.

Exact algorithm

Required data: ohlcv

Where it may work—and where it can fail

EXPECTED BEST CONDITIONS

Persistent short-horizon momentum regimes with costs low enough to preserve a small effect.

IMPORTANT CONTEXT

This is a course sanity-check model, not presented as a production edge.

Main risks

“Best conditions” is an interpretation of the strategy's mechanism, not an additional course entry rule and not a performance guarantee.

Forward paper transactions

LEDGER START2026-08-16T22:55:37.825714+00:00
PAPER VERSIONv2 · 4bee240a94d9
STATUSrunning
STATUS DETAILNo issue
EntrySideEntry priceExitExit priceCapital basisGross notionalOutcomeP&L
2026-09-29 00:00:00+00:00SHORT740.152026-09-29 00:00:00+00:00737.93$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+25.93
2026-09-28 00:00:00+00:00LONG740.462026-09-28 00:00:00+00:00736.53$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-57.01
2026-09-25 00:00:00+00:00LONG742.832026-09-25 00:00:00+00:00744.50$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+18.48
2026-09-24 00:00:00+00:00SHORT735.292026-09-24 00:00:00+00:00741.10$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-83.03
2026-09-23 00:00:00+00:00LONG746.992026-09-23 00:00:00+00:00741.21$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-81.38
2026-09-22 00:00:00+00:00LONG740.982026-09-22 00:00:00+00:00747.46$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+83.45
2026-09-21 00:00:00+00:00LONG727.892026-09-21 00:00:00+00:00741.47$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+182.57
2026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00LONG718.832026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00721.45$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+32.45
2026-09-17 00:00:00+00:00SHORT716.052026-09-17 00:00:00+00:00716.92$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-16.15
2026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00SHORT708.062026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00704.72$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+43.17
2026-09-15 00:00:00+00:00LONG708.802026-09-15 00:00:00+00:00704.54$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-64.10
2026-09-14 00:00:00+00:00SHORT703.332026-09-14 00:00:00+00:00709.18$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-87.25
2026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00LONG715.682026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00714.88$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-15.18
2026-09-10 00:00:00+00:00SHORT707.552026-09-10 00:00:00+00:00708.69$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-20.11
2026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00SHORT716.402026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00716.31$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-2.74
2026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00SHORT720.912026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00718.36$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+31.36
2026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00LONG719.362026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00718.96$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-9.56
2026-09-03 00:00:00+00:00LONG710.852026-09-03 00:00:00+00:00717.67$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+91.94
2026-09-02 00:00:00+00:00LONG707.102026-09-02 00:00:00+00:00709.24$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+26.26
2026-09-01 00:00:00+00:00LONG707.392026-09-01 00:00:00+00:00707.64$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-0.47
2026-08-31 00:00:00+00:00SHORT715.172026-08-31 00:00:00+00:00716.76$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-26.23
2026-08-28 00:00:00+00:00LONG719.742026-08-28 00:00:00+00:00716.43$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-49.99
2026-08-27 00:00:00+00:00LONG716.932026-08-27 00:00:00+00:00721.11$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+54.30
2026-08-26 00:00:00+00:00SHORT708.412026-08-26 00:00:00+00:00711.37$10,000.00$10,000.00MISS$-45.78
2026-08-25 00:00:00+00:00SHORT711.272026-08-25 00:00:00+00:00710.72$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+3.73
2026-08-24 00:00:00+00:00SHORT709.662026-08-24 00:00:00+00:00706.32$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+43.06
2026-08-21 00:00:00+00:00SHORT715.232026-08-21 00:00:00+00:00713.44$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+21.03
2026-08-20 00:00:00+00:00SHORT712.092026-08-20 00:00:00+00:00710.93$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+12.29
2026-08-19 00:00:00+00:00SHORT720.392026-08-19 00:00:00+00:00716.08$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+55.83
2026-08-18 00:00:00+00:00SHORT720.212026-08-18 00:00:00+00:00717.51$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+33.49
2026-08-17 00:00:00+00:00SHORT732.952026-08-17 00:00:00+00:00729.87$10,000.00$10,000.00HIT$+38.02

Capital basis is allocated paper equity. Gross notional uses the exposure stored with that exact fill; legacy fills with no recorded exposure are shown as unknown. A new semantic paper generation archives the prior run and restarts the forward clock.

Archived paper versions

Read-only prior runs preserve their executable manifest, balances, and fills. They never contribute to the active clock, cash, or qualification.

VersionMarketExposureAllocationCostCode hashStartedArchivedFillsStarting cashEnding cashRealized P&LFinal status
legacy-v1unknown · unknownunknownunknownunknownlegacy2026-08-16T16:54:09.212635+00:002026-08-16T22:55:37.825714+00:000$100,000.00$100,000.00$+0.00running
TRADES2,507
AVERAGE TRADE-8.08 bps
STRATEGY 1.0x / BUY & HOLD 1x-88.73% / +569.87%
VS 1x REFERENCE-658.60% · LAGS
DRAWDOWN: STRATEGY / B&H+89.92% / +35.12%
HITS / MISSES1,190 / 1,317
HIT RATE+47.47%
AVG HIT / MISS+0.75% / -0.83%
LONGEST MISS STREAK12

Rolling 70/30 diagnostic

This moving 70/30 split is a dashboard diagnostic, not frozen qualification evidence. It cannot award AI-qualified status.

FINAL 30% TRADES753
STRATEGY / B&H 1x-30.33% / +110.97%
FINAL 30% VS B&H-141.31%
FINAL 30% HIT RATE+48.61%
FINAL 30% DRAWDOWN+42.67%
INDEPENDENT EVIDENCE?No

Candles and execution signals

▲ BUY▼ SELLHover a candle or marker for exact values
748.65713.52678.38643.24608.112026-04-10T00:00:00+00:00 O 611.84 H 613.67 L 609.58 C 611.072026-04-13T00:00:00+00:00 O 609.48 H 626.74 L 608.11 C 617.392026-04-14T00:00:00+00:00 O 620.22 H 628.60 L 620.10 C 628.602026-04-15T00:00:00+00:00 O 629.08 H 637.83 L 628.20 C 637.402026-04-16T00:00:00+00:00 O 639.21 H 642.18 L 635.26 C 640.472026-04-17T00:00:00+00:00 O 645.59 H 650.00 L 644.07 C 648.852026-04-20T00:00:00+00:00 O 648.04 H 648.76 L 642.52 C 646.792026-04-21T00:00:00+00:00 O 648.41 H 650.20 L 642.21 C 644.332026-04-22T00:00:00+00:00 O 650.15 H 655.33 L 648.52 C 655.112026-04-23T00:00:00+00:00 O 653.55 H 656.92 L 645.52 C 651.422026-04-24T00:00:00+00:00 O 658.51 H 664.51 L 656.53 C 663.882026-04-27T00:00:00+00:00 O 663.40 H 664.43 L 660.69 C 664.232026-04-28T00:00:00+00:00 O 657.41 H 659.64 L 653.81 C 657.552026-04-29T00:00:00+00:00 O 658.63 H 661.72 L 656.59 C 661.572026-04-30T00:00:00+00:00 O 665.35 H 668.90 L 657.56 C 667.742026-05-01T00:00:00+00:00 O 669.16 H 675.97 L 668.80 C 674.152026-05-04T00:00:00+00:00 O 674.66 H 676.73 L 668.90 C 672.882026-05-05T00:00:00+00:00 O 677.96 H 682.77 L 677.51 C 681.612026-05-06T00:00:00+00:00 O 687.78 H 695.93 L 686.48 C 695.772026-05-07T00:00:00+00:00 O 696.58 H 701.24 L 691.77 C 694.942026-05-08T00:00:00+00:00 O 699.92 H 711.23 L 699.50 C 711.232026-05-11T00:00:00+00:00 O 710.36 H 714.59 L 708.91 C 713.292026-05-12T00:00:00+00:00 O 708.22 H 710.18 L 696.64 C 707.242026-05-13T00:00:00+00:00 O 709.96 H 716.65 L 704.83 C 714.712026-05-14T00:00:00+00:00 O 714.62 H 722.03 L 714.22 C 719.792026-05-15T00:00:00+00:00 O 710.14 H 715.13 L 705.55 C 708.932026-05-18T00:00:00+00:00 O 711.54 H 712.07 L 698.85 C 705.882026-05-19T00:00:00+00:00 O 699.81 H 706.49 L 695.25 C 701.532026-05-20T00:00:00+00:00 O 705.29 H 713.15 L 703.79 C 713.152026-05-21T00:00:00+00:00 O 708.99 H 717.12 L 706.77 C 714.512026-05-22T00:00:00+00:00 O 718.07 H 722.12 L 715.95 C 717.542026-05-26T00:00:00+00:00 O 725.96 H 731.17 L 724.16 C 730.282026-05-27T00:00:00+00:00 O 732.96 H 733.32 L 725.44 C 729.452026-05-28T00:00:00+00:00 O 729.73 H 736.60 L 726.41 C 735.602026-05-29T00:00:00+00:00 O 737.84 H 741.63 L 735.25 C 738.312026-06-01T00:00:00+00:00 O 737.04 H 745.65 L 735.99 C 742.742026-06-02T00:00:00+00:00 O 742.40 H 746.44 L 739.23 C 746.162026-06-03T00:00:00+00:00 O 747.31 H 748.65 L 741.01 C 744.212026-06-04T00:00:00+00:00 O 735.48 H 743.50 L 732.62 C 740.612026-06-05T00:00:00+00:00 O 730.06 H 731.69 L 704.32 C 705.062026-06-08T00:00:00+00:00 O 717.81 H 723.03 L 713.07 C 716.072026-06-09T00:00:00+00:00 O 722.98 H 725.66 L 686.37 C 707.832026-06-10T00:00:00+00:00 O 701.66 H 711.28 L 692.93 C 693.692026-06-11T00:00:00+00:00 O 699.29 H 718.37 L 695.00 C 717.122026-06-12T00:00:00+00:00 O 717.61 H 724.01 L 711.28 C 721.342026-06-15T00:00:00+00:00 O 738.10 H 744.76 L 737.38 C 744.002026-06-16T00:00:00+00:00 O 742.25 H 744.22 L 729.64 C 729.862026-06-17T00:00:00+00:00 O 735.19 H 735.68 L 720.85 C 722.512026-06-18T00:00:00+00:00 O 737.20 H 741.82 L 732.51 C 740.622026-06-22T00:00:00+00:00 O 742.02 H 745.45 L 734.39 C 737.952026-06-23T00:00:00+00:00 O 715.74 H 723.61 L 712.11 C 713.652026-06-24T00:00:00+00:00 O 715.37 H 719.93 L 704.45 C 710.622026-06-25T00:00:00+00:00 O 725.90 H 726.83 L 705.30 C 716.382026-06-26T00:00:00+00:00 O 707.13 H 715.56 L 702.81 C 706.522026-06-29T00:00:00+00:00 O 713.99 H 724.58 L 705.17 C 724.082026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00 O 724.18 H 737.62 L 723.91 C 736.402026-07-01T00:00:00+00:00 O 729.19 H 731.92 L 724.60 C 725.172026-07-02T00:00:00+00:00 O 725.58 H 730.83 L 707.56 C 712.602026-07-06T00:00:00+00:00 O 719.93 H 726.08 L 718.45 C 722.822026-07-07T00:00:00+00:00 O 714.17 H 716.35 L 704.90 C 709.432026-07-08T00:00:00+00:00 O 704.95 H 712.26 L 700.91 C 711.442026-07-09T00:00:00+00:00 O 718.33 H 724.23 L 715.13 C 723.282026-07-10T00:00:00+00:00 O 720.70 H 726.39 L 717.00 C 725.512026-07-13T00:00:00+00:00 O 717.72 H 718.74 L 710.08 C 711.742026-07-14T00:00:00+00:00 O 720.22 H 722.29 L 714.34 C 719.692026-07-15T00:00:00+00:00 O 723.85 H 724.36 L 710.23 C 717.742026-07-16T00:00:00+00:00 O 712.01 H 713.60 L 702.61 C 705.942026-07-17T00:00:00+00:00 O 691.65 H 702.30 L 686.76 C 695.332026-07-20T00:00:00+00:00 O 702.16 H 705.80 L 695.51 C 696.062026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00 O 706.57 H 710.05 L 702.80 C 708.972026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00 O 703.62 H 709.65 L 703.62 C 705.352026-07-23T00:00:00+00:00 O 694.67 H 698.66 L 687.79 C 691.962026-07-24T00:00:00+00:00 O 690.41 H 692.63 L 682.48 C 684.232026-07-27T00:00:00+00:00 O 691.68 H 692.30 L 675.95 C 682.122026-07-28T00:00:00+00:00 O 676.23 H 679.40 L 667.88 C 675.492026-07-29T00:00:00+00:00 O 675.51 H 680.05 L 661.14 C 661.732026-07-30T00:00:00+00:00 O 674.76 H 685.12 L 673.30 C 683.552026-07-31T00:00:00+00:00 O 692.11 H 695.77 L 680.05 C 687.992026-08-03T00:00:00+00:00 O 688.30 H 701.59 L 685.82 C 700.072026-08-04T00:00:00+00:00 O 708.16 H 725.66 L 707.53 C 723.852026-08-05T00:00:00+00:00 O 726.25 H 728.54 L 716.92 C 717.302026-08-06T00:00:00+00:00 O 710.82 H 719.32 L 708.50 C 714.652026-08-07T00:00:00+00:00 O 720.15 H 723.63 L 716.51 C 723.032026-08-10T00:00:00+00:00 O 722.39 H 724.67 L 720.33 C 720.872026-08-11T00:00:00+00:00 O 723.29 H 723.35 L 715.50 C 718.452026-08-12T00:00:00+00:00 O 727.08 H 727.25 L 722.92 C 723.702026-08-13T00:00:00+00:00 O 725.15 H 733.96 L 724.03 C 732.072026-08-14T00:00:00+00:00 O 733.41 H 734.39 L 728.32 C 731.072026-08-17T00:00:00+00:00 O 732.95 H 734.58 L 729.27 C 729.872026-08-18T00:00:00+00:00 O 720.21 H 722.13 L 715.92 C 717.512026-08-19T00:00:00+00:00 O 720.39 H 721.50 L 712.61 C 716.082026-08-20T00:00:00+00:00 O 712.09 H 714.94 L 708.52 C 710.932026-08-21T00:00:00+00:00 O 715.23 H 715.67 L 709.20 C 713.442026-08-24T00:00:00+00:00 O 709.66 H 709.79 L 702.70 C 706.322026-08-25T00:00:00+00:00 O 711.22 H 714.04 L 707.45 C 710.722026-08-26T00:00:00+00:00 O 708.41 H 713.02 L 707.97 C 711.372026-08-27T00:00:00+00:00 O 716.93 H 721.35 L 714.53 C 721.112026-08-28T00:00:00+00:00 O 719.74 H 724.13 L 715.09 C 716.432026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00 O 715.17 H 717.58 L 713.16 C 716.762026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00 O 707.39 H 712.30 L 704.66 C 707.642026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00 O 707.10 H 709.80 L 705.10 C 709.242026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00 O 710.85 H 718.92 L 709.69 C 717.672026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00 O 719.35 H 721.86 L 716.56 C 718.962026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00 O 720.91 H 721.89 L 715.57 C 718.362026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00 O 716.40 H 719.70 L 714.02 C 716.312026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00 O 707.55 H 712.06 L 706.86 C 708.692026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00 O 715.68 H 717.63 L 713.63 C 714.882026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00 O 703.33 H 712.95 L 702.74 C 709.182026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00 O 708.80 H 709.53 L 703.64 C 704.542026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00 O 708.00 H 711.88 L 700.00 C 704.722026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00 O 715.95 H 718.04 L 713.32 C 716.922026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00 O 718.83 H 721.73 L 715.08 C 721.452026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00 O 727.89 H 743.22 L 727.81 C 741.472026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00 O 740.98 H 748.35 L 740.93 C 747.462026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00 O 746.97 H 747.13 L 738.19 C 741.212026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00 O 735.29 H 742.66 L 734.62 C 741.102026-09-25T00:00:00+00:00 O 742.83 H 745.92 L 739.64 C 744.502026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00 O 740.46 H 741.42 L 731.63 C 736.532026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00 O 740.15 H 740.58 L 735.34 C 737.932026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00 O 740.19 H 745.08 L 739.76 C 743.18ENTRY BUY · 2026-04-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 611.84BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 611.07SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 609.48SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 617.39BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-04-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 620.22BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 628.60SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-04-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 629.08BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 637.40SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-04-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 639.21BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 640.47SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-04-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 645.59BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 648.85SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 648.04BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 646.79SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-04-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 648.41SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-04-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 644.33BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-04-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 650.15SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-04-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 655.11BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-04-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 653.55BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 651.42SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-04-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 658.51SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-04-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 663.88BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 663.40BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 664.23SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-04-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 657.41BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 657.55SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-04-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 658.63BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 661.57SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-04-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 665.35BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-04-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 667.74SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-05-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 669.16BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 674.15SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 674.66BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 672.88SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-05-05 00:00:00+00:00 · 677.96SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-05-05 00:00:00+00:00 · 681.61BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-05-06 00:00:00+00:00 · 687.78BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-06 00:00:00+00:00 · 695.77SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-05-07 00:00:00+00:00 · 696.58BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-07 00:00:00+00:00 · 694.94SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-05-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 699.92SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-05-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 711.23BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 710.36BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 713.29SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-05-12 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.22BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-12 00:00:00+00:00 · 707.24SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-05-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 709.96SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-05-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 714.71BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-05-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 714.62BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 719.79SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-05-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 710.14BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.93SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-05-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 711.54SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-05-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 705.88BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-05-19 00:00:00+00:00 · 699.81SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-05-19 00:00:00+00:00 · 701.53BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-05-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 705.29BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 713.15SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-05-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.99BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 714.51SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-05-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 718.07BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.54SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-05-26 00:00:00+00:00 · 725.96SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-05-26 00:00:00+00:00 · 730.28BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-05-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 732.96BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 729.45SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-05-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 729.73SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-05-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 735.60BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-05-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 737.84BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-05-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 738.31SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-06-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 737.04BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 742.74SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-06-02 00:00:00+00:00 · 742.40BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-02 00:00:00+00:00 · 746.16SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-06-03 00:00:00+00:00 · 747.31BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-03 00:00:00+00:00 · 744.21SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-06-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 735.48SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 740.61BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-06-05 00:00:00+00:00 · 730.06BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-05 00:00:00+00:00 · 705.06SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-06-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.81SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.07BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-09 00:00:00+00:00 · 722.98SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-09 00:00:00+00:00 · 707.83BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 701.66SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 693.69BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 699.29SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.12BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-06-12 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.61BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-12 00:00:00+00:00 · 721.34SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-06-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 738.10BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 744.00SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-06-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 742.25BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 729.86SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-06-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 735.19SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 722.51BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 737.20SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 740.62BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-06-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 742.02BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 737.95SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-06-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 715.74SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 713.65BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 715.37SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 710.62BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-25 00:00:00+00:00 · 725.90SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-25 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.38BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-26 00:00:00+00:00 · 707.13SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-26 00:00:00+00:00 · 706.52BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-06-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 713.99SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-06-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 724.08BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-06-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 724.18BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-06-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 736.40SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-07-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 729.19BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 725.17SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-07-02 00:00:00+00:00 · 725.58SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-02 00:00:00+00:00 · 712.60BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-06 00:00:00+00:00 · 719.93SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-06 00:00:00+00:00 · 722.82BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-07-07 00:00:00+00:00 · 714.17BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-07 00:00:00+00:00 · 709.43SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-07-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 704.95SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 711.44BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-07-09 00:00:00+00:00 · 718.33BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-09 00:00:00+00:00 · 723.28SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-07-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 720.70BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 725.51SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-07-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.72BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 711.74SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-07-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 720.22SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 719.69BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 723.85SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.74BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 712.01SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 705.94BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 691.65SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 695.33BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-07-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 702.16BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 696.06SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-07-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 706.57SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.97BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-07-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 703.62BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 705.35SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-07-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 694.67BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 691.96SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-07-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 690.41SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 684.23BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 691.68SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 682.12BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 676.23SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 675.49BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 675.51SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 661.73BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-07-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 674.76SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-07-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 683.55BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-07-31 00:00:00+00:00 · 692.11BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-07-31 00:00:00+00:00 · 687.99SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-08-03 00:00:00+00:00 · 688.30SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-03 00:00:00+00:00 · 700.07BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-08-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.16BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-08-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 723.85SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-08-05 00:00:00+00:00 · 726.25BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-08-05 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.30SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-08-06 00:00:00+00:00 · 710.82SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-06 00:00:00+00:00 · 714.65BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-08-07 00:00:00+00:00 · 720.15BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-08-07 00:00:00+00:00 · 723.03SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-08-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 722.39BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-08-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 720.87SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-08-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 723.29SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 718.45BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-12 00:00:00+00:00 · 727.08SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-12 00:00:00+00:00 · 723.70BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 725.15SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-13 00:00:00+00:00 · 732.07BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-08-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 733.41BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-08-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 731.07SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-08-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 732.95SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 729.87BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 720.21SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.51BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-19 00:00:00+00:00 · 720.39SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-19 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.08BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 712.09SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-20 00:00:00+00:00 · 710.93BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 715.23SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 713.44BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 709.66SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 706.32BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-25 00:00:00+00:00 · 711.22SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-25 00:00:00+00:00 · 710.72BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-08-26 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.41SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-26 00:00:00+00:00 · 711.37BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-08-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.93BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-08-27 00:00:00+00:00 · 721.11SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-08-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 719.74BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-08-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.43SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-08-31 00:00:00+00:00 · 715.17SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-08-31 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.76BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-09-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 707.39BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-01 00:00:00+00:00 · 707.64SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-09-02 00:00:00+00:00 · 707.10BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-02 00:00:00+00:00 · 709.24SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-09-03 00:00:00+00:00 · 710.85BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-03 00:00:00+00:00 · 717.67SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 719.35BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00 · 718.96SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 720.91SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00 · 718.36BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.40SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.31BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-09-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 707.55SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-10 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.69BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 715.68BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00 · 714.88SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-09-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 703.33SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-14 00:00:00+00:00 · 709.18BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-09-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.80BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-15 00:00:00+00:00 · 704.54SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 708.00SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00 · 704.72BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-09-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 715.95SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-17 00:00:00+00:00 · 716.92BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 718.83BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00 · 721.45SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-09-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 727.89BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-21 00:00:00+00:00 · 741.47SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-09-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 740.98BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-22 00:00:00+00:00 · 747.46SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-09-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 746.97BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-23 00:00:00+00:00 · 741.21SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-09-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 735.29SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-24 00:00:00+00:00 · 741.10BUYENTRY BUY · 2026-09-25 00:00:00+00:00 · 742.83BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-25 00:00:00+00:00 · 744.50SELLENTRY BUY · 2026-09-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 740.46BUYEXIT SELL · 2026-09-28 00:00:00+00:00 · 736.53SELLENTRY SELL · 2026-09-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 740.15SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-29 00:00:00+00:00 · 737.93BUYENTRY SELL · 2026-09-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 740.19SELLEXIT BUY · 2026-09-30 00:00:00+00:00 · 743.18BUY2026-04-102026-09-30

Shows the latest 120 available bars. BUY/SELL marks strategy entries and exits whose timestamps fall in this visible window.

Historical equity curve

Compounds each encoded net trade sequentially, including the strategy's declared exposure and modeled costs. The forward ledger starts only after deployment.

Backtest specification

STATUS / REPLICATIONcompleted · exact_course_rules
DATAYahoo Finance (delayed/unofficial)
MARKETQQQ · 1d
HISTORY2016-09-30T00:00:00+00:00
2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00
WIN RATE+47.47%
PROFIT FACTOR0.81

This is a course sanity-check model, not presented as a production edge.

Historical transactions

Download JSONDownload all transactions as CSV

HIT = profitable after the 4 bps cost assumption; MISS = loss after costs; FLAT = break-even. Showing the most recent 100 of 2,507 transactions.

EntrySideEntry priceExitExit priceOutcomeNet return
2026-09-30 00:00:00+00:00SHORT740.192026-09-30 00:00:00+00:00743.18MISS-0.444%
2026-09-29 00:00:00+00:00SHORT740.152026-09-29 00:00:00+00:00737.93HIT+0.260%
2026-09-28 00:00:00+00:00LONG740.462026-09-28 00:00:00+00:00736.53MISS-0.571%
2026-09-25 00:00:00+00:00LONG742.832026-09-25 00:00:00+00:00744.50HIT+0.185%
2026-09-24 00:00:00+00:00SHORT735.292026-09-24 00:00:00+00:00741.10MISS-0.830%
2026-09-23 00:00:00+00:00LONG746.972026-09-23 00:00:00+00:00741.21MISS-0.811%
2026-09-22 00:00:00+00:00LONG740.982026-09-22 00:00:00+00:00747.46HIT+0.835%
2026-09-21 00:00:00+00:00LONG727.892026-09-21 00:00:00+00:00741.47HIT+1.826%
2026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00LONG718.832026-09-18 00:00:00+00:00721.45HIT+0.324%
2026-09-17 00:00:00+00:00SHORT715.952026-09-17 00:00:00+00:00716.92MISS-0.175%
2026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00SHORT708.002026-09-16 00:00:00+00:00704.72HIT+0.423%
2026-09-15 00:00:00+00:00LONG708.802026-09-15 00:00:00+00:00704.54MISS-0.641%
2026-09-14 00:00:00+00:00SHORT703.332026-09-14 00:00:00+00:00709.18MISS-0.872%
2026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00LONG715.682026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00714.88MISS-0.152%
2026-09-10 00:00:00+00:00SHORT707.552026-09-10 00:00:00+00:00708.69MISS-0.201%
2026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00SHORT716.402026-09-09 00:00:00+00:00716.31MISS-0.027%
2026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00SHORT720.912026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00718.36HIT+0.314%
2026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00LONG719.352026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00718.96MISS-0.094%
2026-09-03 00:00:00+00:00LONG710.852026-09-03 00:00:00+00:00717.67HIT+0.919%
2026-09-02 00:00:00+00:00LONG707.102026-09-02 00:00:00+00:00709.24HIT+0.263%
2026-09-01 00:00:00+00:00LONG707.392026-09-01 00:00:00+00:00707.64MISS-0.005%
2026-08-31 00:00:00+00:00SHORT715.172026-08-31 00:00:00+00:00716.76MISS-0.262%
2026-08-28 00:00:00+00:00LONG719.742026-08-28 00:00:00+00:00716.43MISS-0.500%
2026-08-27 00:00:00+00:00LONG716.932026-08-27 00:00:00+00:00721.11HIT+0.543%
2026-08-26 00:00:00+00:00SHORT708.412026-08-26 00:00:00+00:00711.37MISS-0.458%
2026-08-25 00:00:00+00:00SHORT711.222026-08-25 00:00:00+00:00710.72HIT+0.030%
2026-08-24 00:00:00+00:00SHORT709.662026-08-24 00:00:00+00:00706.32HIT+0.431%
2026-08-21 00:00:00+00:00SHORT715.232026-08-21 00:00:00+00:00713.44HIT+0.210%
2026-08-20 00:00:00+00:00SHORT712.092026-08-20 00:00:00+00:00710.93HIT+0.123%
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